The Florida Republican Primary is slated for Tuesday. It is the fourth state to vote, after Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina. There were different winners in each state. Florida, traditionally viewed as a swing state, feels that because of its size that its primary should be among the first and this year chose to jump ahead of Nevada, putting itself in fourth position, rather than fifth, as the Republican National Committee rules require. As it has in the past, Florida may pay for this decision.
* In 2008, the Florida GOP delegation was sanctioned by the Republican National Committee for holding its primary early, resulting in a 50 percent loss of delegates, dropping from 99 to 50.
* In late September 2011, the Florida GOP made the decision to break from Republican National Committee rules and move its primary to the early date, moving ahead of the Nevada caucus, which according to RNC rules is to be among the first four states to hold primaries or caucuses. A 50 percent loss of delegates has been promised again by the RNC for this breech.
* Florida is a winner-take-all state, meaning all delegates cast their votes for the winner of the primary. It has been suggested that because of the Florida GOP holding its primary at such an early date, that according to the RNC rules the Florida delegates might be forced to use a proportional allocation, instead of casting all of its votes for the winning candidate.
* Florida GOP voters in the past have chosen candidates who went on to win the Republican bid at the GOP convention, with John McCain and George W. Bush being the most recent.
* Florida GOP voters are a diverse group of voters, with native residents, immigrants and retirees from other states, making up their voter base. In the past, Florida Republican voters have prided themselves on voting uniquely according to their state's needs, not the trends of the country. They are not followers. They want to be seen as leaders.
* With a different winner coming out of each of the first three GOP caucuses and primaries, the Florida GOP primary may retain its long standing swing state reputation by breaking the three way tie among Newt Gingrich, Rick Santorum and Mitt Romney.
* Past winning GOP candidates in Florida have often won by a narrow margin. This year's primary should prove to be no different, and is being called the closest Florida primary race ever.
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